Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Away from W Virginia, Democrat win in by-election bodes ill for Republicans

Well, they call them special elections in the States....

It's a constant theme of mine that the Democrats have to win in the South to win the States. So this special election win in Mississippi must be giving the Republicans a lot of worries in respect of November. Conservative Home put it very well when they headed their article about this with the title: Imagine the Tories losing Kensington & Chelsea... that's what happened to the Republicans last night.

The Democrat, Travis Childers, a local courthouse official, pulled together a coalition of blacks, who turned out heavily, and old-line “yellow dog” Democrats, to beat his Republican opponent, Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven, a Memphis suburb. With 99 percent of the precincts reporting, the vote was 54 percent for Mr. Childers to 46 percent for Mr. Davis.
The seat had been in Republican hands since 1995, and the district, largely rural and stretching across the northern top of
Mississippi, had been considered one of the safest in the country for President Bush’s party, as he won here with 62 percent of the vote in 2004.
Having lost a similar Congressional race this month in Louisiana, Republicans had worked desperately to win this contest, sending Vice President
Dick Cheney to campaign for Mr. Davis, along with Gov. Haley Barbour of Mississippi and former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas; President Bush and Senator John McCain recorded telephone messages that were sent to voters throughout the district.
Merle Black, a Southern politics expert at
Emory University, called a Democratic victory potentially “a huge upset, and an indication of a terrible year ahead for the Republicans.” He added, “In theory, this should be an easy win for them.”

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