Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Obama will walk it (probably) - Time

I'm always furious when commentators say that England are about to win a sporting event. You know that defeat will inevitably be snatched from the jaws of victory a few seconds after their pronouncement.

Michael Grunwald's article in Time about Obama v McCain falls into that category. He's basically saying that Obama is going to win, stupid. Saying it invites fate to rain down. But it's fun to wallow in, nonetheless:

The media will try to preserve the illusion of a toss-up; you'll keep seeing 'Obama Leads, But Voters Have Concerns' headlines. But when Democrats are winning blood-red congressional districts in Mississippi and Louisiana, when the Republican president is down to 28 percent, when the economy is tanking and world affairs keep breaking Obama's way, it shouldn't be heresy to recognize that McCain needs an improbable series of breaks. Analysts get paid to analyze, and cable news has airtime to fill, so pundits have an incentive to make politics seem complicated. In the end, though, it's usually pretty simple.

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