Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Clinton slipping in Pennsylvania

Up until now, Pennsylvania has been held out as the great hope for Hillary Clinton. A last minute surge here would sort everything out for her, we are told.

Well, now there have been two polls in quick succession saying that her previously strong lead in Pennsylvania is slipping away.

Rasmussen has the lead down to just five points:

For Clinton, that five-point edge is down from a ten-point lead a week ago, a thirteen-point lead in mid-March and a fifteen-point advantage in early March.

A SurveyUSA poll shows her lead down from 19 points to 12. Still a big lead, but this far out (the primary is not until April 22nd), there is still plenty of time for Obama to make up the ground. He is currently doing a leisurely bus tour of the State, nurturing the grass roots. The SurveyUSA poll report noted:

...the poll showed Obama gaining ground in the Keystone State, particularly in cities like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, and among older voters, men and conservative Democrats.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released three weeks ago, Clinton is down two points and Obama is up five...


One interesting thing which seems to have happened recently in the Democratic presidential race is this. We have had a lot of people saying the Democrats are tearing themselves apart. However, since the Bosnia gaffe (which was an example of Hillary tearing herself apart anyway) things appear to have gone quiet. The focus seems to be on "When will Hillary give up (if at all)?"

Having said that, John McCain is still able to tour the country presenting himself as a latter day Mother Theresa...

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