A fascinating Newsnight last night. Michael Crick is starting to make his mark as their political editor.
According to the University of Plymouth's study of 50 recent by-elections, they predict these May 3rd results:
Conservatives on 38% and +330 seats
Liberal Democrats on 29% and +110 seats
Labour on 24% and -500 seats
This would put Labour lower than Michael Foot's 1982 29% level and lower even than the Tories' 25% in 1995 under Major.
They also reported that John McDonnell and Michael Meacher have made an agreement to meet when Blair resigns and compare MP signature lists. The one with the least signatures of support at that time will drop out.