tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post3926192687682009902..comments2023-07-21T09:17:17.142-07:00Comments on Test 25636: Newsnight predict Labour meltdownPaul Walterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00525444717679391831noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-44787389960669134732007-04-27T05:08:00.000-07:002007-04-27T05:08:00.000-07:00Thank you Fluf...er...RichardThank you Fluf...er...RichardPaulhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00525444717679391831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-63820914706545970302007-04-27T04:55:00.000-07:002007-04-27T04:55:00.000-07:00In fairness to the Plymouth people, last year'...In fairness to the Plymouth people, last year's prediction was from a month out rather than a week, and in that month, Labour did rather choose to implode - not just John Prescott, but also the Home Office providing rather spectacular negative coverage and somewhat saving Mr Balloon's bacon from a lacklustre campaign.<br><br>On the other hand, calling them "the UK's leading election study centre" is just asking for trouble. ;)<br><br>And where's Mr Frank Luntz when Newsnight need him?!Richard Flowershttp://millenniumelephant.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-31219399016452846642007-04-27T01:32:00.000-07:002007-04-27T01:32:00.000-07:00Thank you Peter, and thank you, Stephen, for that ...Thank you Peter, and thank you, Stephen, for that impressive research!Paulhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00525444717679391831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-32856876732852846602007-04-27T01:17:00.000-07:002007-04-27T01:17:00.000-07:00This was their prediction last year:(http://en.wik...This was their prediction last year:<br><br>(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_local_elections,_2006)<br><br>"On April 7, a report produced by the University of Plymouth for Newsnight, based on results of council by-elections in the past three months, suggested that, compared to the 2002 local elections:<br><br>* Labour would increase their national vote share by 2% to 28% but that they would lose around 130 seats.<br>* The Conservatives would suffer a decrease in the national vote share of 4% leaving them with 33% and a loss of around 95 seats.<br>* The Liberal Democrats would increase their vote share by 2% to 29% and would gain around 190 seats. <br><br>This prediction may be seen to be almost entirely inaccurate."Stephen Tallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11720133001571029678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-49210477780816602702007-04-27T00:38:00.000-07:002007-04-27T00:38:00.000-07:00I think they were way out last year.I think they were way out last year.Peter Pigeonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10741462448758919750noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-27072806723530463172007-04-27T00:23:00.000-07:002007-04-27T00:23:00.000-07:00Fair enoughFair enoughPaulhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00525444717679391831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7910188492873665563.post-24418519153280375502007-04-26T23:29:00.000-07:002007-04-26T23:29:00.000-07:00I'm sorry but that data looks way over-optimis...I'm sorry but that data looks way over-optimistic for us and pessimistic from the Tories' perspective.<br><br>Take with a big lump of saltAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com